Quick wins should be high pain + available evidence + manageable risk.
Quick wins
Quick wins are credible when data is available, workflow ownership is clear, and value can be tested quickly.
Larger bets
Larger bets deserve attention when they strengthen an advantage through company data, scarce expertise, or a pattern that can be reused.
Ordering rule
If an idea cannot be defended yet, make the missing proof a visible preparation task before funding full delivery.